'Climate policies and greenhouse-gas emissions for the twenty-first century are modelled as the result of coupled feedback effects in the social, political and energy systems. Our models suggest that climate policies will increase in ambition and associated emissions reductions will probably accelerate, resulting in warming of 2 °C to 3 °C above 1880–1910 levels by 2100.'
(Nature journal article - 22 Feb 2022)
Determinants of emissions pathways in the coupled climate–social system. >

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-04423-8